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Professor of Political Science Demetrios James Caraley Comments on the Outcome of the Presidential Election and the Resulting Political Landscape

Introduction: Demetrios James Caraley is Janet Robb Professor of the Social Sciences at Barnard College and professor of political science in the graduate faculties of Columbia University. He has published numerous books and articles on national security policy, congressional policymaking, and party and urban politics, including The Politics of Military Unification, and is the editor of Political Science Quarterly. He has been a chair of the mount Pleasant Democratic Party in Westchester county and also has been an elected official in North Tarrytown, NY.

In the following interview about the outcome of the Presidential election, Professor Caraley argues that the Supreme Court overstepped their bounds and talks about what Bush will need to do to govern effectively.

Q: Can the nation come together in support of President-elect Bush, given the extraordinary election?

A: First of all it is kind of what other choice do we have? But it is going to depend on how he is going to govern. It depends on how he works and whether he will work with bipartisan majorities in Congress. Congress is not the same as the Texas legislature, and is a truly independent body. Bush will have to deal with his own right wing, Tom DeLay, Dick Armey, and Trent Lott, and the Democrats, so on his own he has very little of his base. He has the moderate GOP, but that is not a big base.

Q: What must Bush do to govern effectively?

A: He must get very good cabinet officials, and some of them should be Democrats. The problem is that the obvious choice - a Democratic senator - would not accept an appointment because Republicans might gain a majority on the Senate. Bush needs to make appointments of the caliber of Robert Rubin, the former treasury secretary, but he may be one of a type. His other problem, which is a benefit to the country, is that we are no longer in a hot or cold war so that he cannot use foreign affairs to unify the nation.

Q: What is the mandate of President-elect?

A: I don't think he has any mandate. He said yesterday there was agreement on prescription drugs for the elderly, on education, and on a tax cut. I don't think there was agreement. His own and Gore's detailed proposals were very different.

Bush should start with two or three things, like eliminating the marriage penalty, cutting the extreme death tax, adding a prescription drug benefit for the elderly, and get them through with a bipartisan coalition of the center. That will start him off with something that is doable and then he can go on to more difficult things.

Q: Did the Supreme Court tread new ground in its ruling?

A: This is a political issue. In 210 years, the Supreme Court has never before gotten involved in a presidential election. All details governing those elections are in Article 1 and Article 2 of the Constitution, and refer to Congress and the President. This was never before considered a federal question, and so they created new law for themselves, new Constitutional authority. Some argue that this is a one-time intervention and so it hasn't really damaged the country all that much, but I think it has, and the most damage has been done among the political elites -- those who regularly participate in and observe politics -- not the general public. One comes to the conclusion from reading all of the Supreme Court's rulings that whatever the Florida Supreme Court would do, the five-person majority on the Court would always find a way to say "that's wrong," send them back, and let the clock run out so that no more votes could be counted.

There is no Constitutional mandate requiring the names of electors to be submitted by Dec. 12. That date does not appear in the Constitution. After the 1960 election, Hawaii sent in their electors as late as Jan. 4, 1961, and those electors were counted. The justices who signed the majority opinion turned Dec. 12 into a Constitutional mandate by some mystery, by saying Florida has a preference for it and then cynically sent the decision back to the Florida supreme court to come up with better standards on 10 PM of December 12, the date they said was sacrosanct. But a Florida legislative preference is not a Constitutional mandate.

Even more startling in the per curiam opinion, was the declaration that the individual citizen had no Constitutional right to vote for electors for the president of the United States. We all knew that was the history and we were voting for the president indirectly, but I don't think any court or law or political science professor ever would say in the past 150 years that the ordinary citizen does not have an enforceable right to vote for president.

That is terrible thing to say, because that means if you don't have a right to vote for them, you don't have a right for your vote to be counted. In fact, the Florida state legislature had said that electors were to be chosen by popular vote. There is no coherent theory in the majority's opinions. Internally it is inconsistent, and the only position that is consistent it came down to "just don't count any more votes."

Q: Has the credibility of the Court been damaged because of the Court's failure to reach a unanimous or near-unanimous verdict?

A: I think they have damaged themselves, but mostly again among the elites.

The concept of judicial review relies on the trust that judges will be impartial in administering the law. That is why their decisions are accepted even though they have no force to use. Trust is the most important thing in a democracy, and if you don't have confidence that judges will not be political, then any democracy starts running downhill. Up to forty years ago, the Court used the concept that some issues -- even extremely important ones -- were not judicial issues but political issues and should not be decided by the courts. Going back to that would be a good idea.

Q: Given the low voter turnout in U.S. election, will this election galvanize interest in politics or weaken it further?

A: I don't think it will weaken it further because there are so many things to do: To get new voting equipment, and to make sure the votes are all counted and accurately; to eliminate winner-take-all choosing of electors; perhaps even in this first century of the new millennium, to have some official document that says the general public does have a constitutional right to vote for president.

 

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